Jul 04

2014 John Deere Classic Fantasy Golf Advice & Predictions

GolfStrat’s Expert Fantasy Golf Picks
“John Deere Classic”

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John Deere Classic

Previous Quicken Loans National champions include: Jordan Spieth (2013), Zach Johnson (2012), Steve Stricker (2011, 2010, 2009), Kenny Perry (2008), Jonathan Byrd (2007), John Senden (2006), Sean O’Hair (2005), Mark Hensby (2004) and Vijay Singh (2003). TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, will host the John Deere Classic. This tournament has been at the same course since 2000, and Steve Stricker is the biggest name to consider this week since he’s won the event three times (all in a row). TPC Deere Run is a par 71, 7,257 yard test, and winners at this event tend to shoot between 15 and 25-under par for the week, so expect a birdie-fest.

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Group A
Group B
Group B
Group C
Round 4
Charles Howell III
Steve Stricker
Zach Johnson
Kevin Na
Round 4 Notes
  • Weather: 6-8mph winds in the AM; 9-12mph wind in the PM
  • (A) We’ll get Mr. Howell III in there on the off chance he goes crazy on day 4.
  • (B) Zach and Steve, part 4, although an argument can be made for Spieth to go low on Sunday.
  • (C) Kevin Na seems more up to the task than English, who has little to play for.


Recent Finishes
“John Deere” Finishes
(A) Ryan Moore (5) Travelers
(48) U.S. Open
(20) Memorial
(MC) Byron Nelson
(22) 2013
(8) 2012
Two starts at the John Deere with two good results plus he’s found something in his game the past three events after a rocky several months. There’s also very little Group A talent this week.
(A) Charles Howell III (52) Greenbrier
(46) Quicken
(28) St. Jude
(57) Memorial
(33) 2013
(MC) 2012
(5) 2011
(39) 2010
(23) 2009
With the lack of Group A talent, we’ll lean on Charles Howell who has made 5 straight cuts on tour with a 3rd place at the Byron Nelson this season. He’s also made 4 of 5 cuts at the John Deere the past 5 years, with him only missing the cut by 1 stroke in 2012. He’s a play for safety this week. Others to consider: #3 Daniel Summerhays, #4 John Merrick, #5 Kyle Stanley, #6 Josh Teater
(B) Steve Stricker (35) Greenbrier
(21) U.S. Open
(6) Memorial
(13) Players
(10) 2013
(5) 2012
(1) 2011
(1) 2010
(1) 2009
This year has been hard to predict and Stricker’s lack of scheduled tournaments + his poor Sunday at the Greenbrier don’t instill much confidence in fantasy owners, but he’s still delivering and everyone will expect him to strike gold again this week. That’s a “Tiger-like track record” at the John Deere.
(B) Jordan Spieth (11) Quicken
(17) U.S. Open
(20) Memorial
(14) Colonial
(1) 2013
(58) 2012
Probably the favorite coming into this week. He needs to get another victory under his belt and this is the type of field to do just that. He’s more experienced and could repeat this week.
(B) Chris Kirk (45) Greenbrier
(28) U.S. Open
(4) Memorial
(14) Colonial
(22) 2013
(30) 2012
(22) 2011
Too bad he couldn’t put four good rounds together at the Greenbrier (Saturday was abysmal), but he’s still playing well and has three top 30s over the past three years at the John Deere. Look for him to improve upon those finishes this week.
(B) Zach Johnson (MC) Travlers
(40) U.S. Open
(53) St. Jude
(73) Colonial
(P2) 2013
(1) 2012
(3) 2011
(21) 2010
(2) 2009
You don’t find this kind of consistency outside of Tiger (and the John Deere version of Steve Stricker). It’s hard to bet against the track record, but this year, players with poor recent performance have not done well at events they’ve historically owned. We’ll take him with a cautious outlook. Others to consider: #5 Brendon de Jonge, #6 Robert Garrigus, #7 Kevin Streelman, #8 Ben Crane, #9 Michael Thompson, #10 Jerry Kelly
(C) Kevin Na (52) Greenbrier
(12) U.S. Open
(P2) Memorial
(MC) Colonial
Not played in 5 years.
We’re bypassing a few of the guys that our “True Power Rankings by the Numbers” shows as better this week for some proven champions in the C Group. Kevin Na has been close recently and despite his lack of John Deere experience, he’s got the game to win.
(C) Harris English (7) Travelers
(48) U.S. Open
(MC) St. Jude
(30) Colonial
(15) 2013
Finished 15th in his only previous John Deere appearance, and his 7th place Travelers finish + making the cut at the U.S. Open gives us hope. We’re bypassing three guys on our power rankings this week for Na and English – it’s more about trust this week than numbers. Others to consider: #3 Chris Stroud, #4 Billy Hurley III, #5 Scott Langley, #6 Jason Bohn, #7 Chad Campbell

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Yahoo + Daily, Spread/Odds
Risers/Fallers, GolfChannel, PGATour.com
Sleepers, Horses, Hot List
Power Rankings


#1 Jordan Spieth (13/1) #2 Steve Stricker (14/1) #3 Zach Johnson (15/1) #4 Ryan Moore (25/1) #4 Harris English (25/1)
#6 Kevin Na (29/1) #7 Chris Kirk (30/1) #8 Kevin Streelman (34/1) #9 John Senden (36/1) #10 Brendon de Jonge (42/1)
#10 Chris Stroud (42/1) #12 Ben Martin (48/1) #12 Kevin Chappell (48/1) #14 Charles Howell III (50/1) #15 David Hearn (60/1)
#15 Robert Garrigus (60/1) #15 Brian Harman (60/1) #15 David Lingmerth (60/1) #15 Luke Guthrie (60/1) #15 Kyle Stanley (60/1)
#21 Russell Henley (65/1) #22 Daniel Summerhays (70/1) #22 Ben Crane (70/1) #22 Cameron Tringale (WD) Odds by Betfair

Post #1 Link
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Yahoo + Daily, Spread/Odds
Risers/Fallers, GolfChannel, PGATour.com
Sleepers, Horses, Hot List
Power Rankings